Wildcard Weekend!

 I have one best bet this week. I’m going with the Packers to cover.

 

Oakland at Houston
Line: Houston -3.5
Total: 36.5

The Raiders are 6-2 on the road this season, 5-2-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve played 4 unders and 4 overs. Overall they’re 12-4 on the season, 9-6-1 ATS, with 5 unders and 11 overs.

The Texans are 7-1 at home this season, losing only to the Chargers, 6-1 ATS, with 5 unders and 3 overs. For the season their record is 9-7, 8-7 ATS with 9 unders and 7 overs.

A tale of two backup quarterbacks. The Raiders have announced they’re starting Connor Cook at quarterback. ESPN reports that he’s the first QB in the Super Bowl era that’s starting his first game ever in the playoffs.  Dereck Carr was the engine that drove the Raiders and without him they stand very little chance. Brook Osweiler at least has some experience under his belt. But that experience caused him to be let go in Denver and benched by the Texans. That being said, he’s performed better at home and this is his chance to make the coaches, the home crowd and of course, his momma proud.

 

PROGnosis: Houston -3.5

 

Detroit at Seattle
Line: Seattle -8
Total: 43.5

The Lions are 3-5 on the road this season, 3-4 ATS, with 5 unders and 3 overs. For the season their record is 9-7, 7-7-2 ATS with 10 unders and 6 overs.

The Seahawks are 7-1 at home, 4-4 ATS, with 3 unders and 5 overs. For the season their record is 10-5-1, 7-9 ATS, with 7 unders and 9 overs.

The Lions aren’t exactly roaring into the playoffs, losing their last 3 games. They’ve played very close games this season, with only 3 of them being decided by more than 7 points. The bad news is that those 3 games happen to be their last 3 games on the road, and they lost 2 of them. They really have been having some trouble scoring the past couple of months.  

Seattle haven’t had any problems scoring points at home so I’ll roll the dice on the Seahawks.

PROGnosis: Seattle -8

 

 

Miami at Pittsburgh
Line: Pittsburgh -10
Total: 46

 

The Dolphins are 4-4 on the road this season, 5-3 ATS, playing 3 unders and 5 overs. For the season they’re 10-6, 9-7 ATS, with 4 unders and 12 overs.

The Steelers at home are 5-3, 3-5 ATS with 4 unders and 4 overs. For the season they’re 10-6, 8-8 ATS, with 9 unders and 5 overs.

In their last 6 games Miami has given up at least 23 points and 31 or more 3 times. They’ve played 6 overs in a row. In their last 4 games the Steelers have score at least 24 points every time and 31 once. In those games they haven’t gone under the total, going over twice with 2 pushes. Look for a lot of points in this game.

 

PROGnosis: Pittsburgh -10

 

 

N.Y. Giants at Green Bay
Line: Green Bay -4.5
Total: 44.5

 

The Giants on the road are 4-4, 5-3 ATS, with 7 unders and 1 over. Overall their record is 11-5, 9-6 ATS, with 12 unders and 4 overs.

 

The Packers are 6-2 at home, 4-3 ATS, with 4 unders and 4 overs. For the season their record is 10-6, 7-8 ATS, with 7 unders and 8 overs.

The Packers come into the playoffs red hot. They’ve won 6 in a row, covering 5 of those 6. Four of their last 6 games gave gone over the total, with another one barely going under.

The Giants haven’t scored over 19 points in the last 5 games. During that stretch they’re 3-2 straight up and 3-2 ATS. For the season they’ve only scored over 20 points once on the road.

I’m going with the hot hand of Aaron Rodgers.

BEST BET!!!

 

PROGnosis: Green Bay -4.5