Tuesday, January 24, 2017


Championship Weekend Recap and The Prog is on Fire!


I hit my one best bet last weekend, making me a perfect 3-0 on best bets for the playoffs. I’m also 8-1 on all my other picks for the payoffs making me a total of 11-1 for the post season! There’s one more game left to be played and it’s going to be super. I’ll have my prediction for the game posted by Thursday evening February 2, so check back then.  
 

Thursday, January 19, 2017

Championship Weekend!


I've got one best bet this week, the high flying Packers and Falcons to go over 61.

Green Bay at Atlanta
Line: Atlanta-5
Total: 61

I really don't think they can set this line high enough! I think the final score will be closer to 70 than 60.

Best Bet! Take the over 61

PROGnosis: Green Bay/Atlanta over 61

PROGnosis: Atlanta -5

 
Pittsburgh at New England
Line: New England -6 
Total: 51

PROGnosis: New England -6
 
 

Monday, January 16, 2017

Divisional Round Recap


I went 4-1 on all my picks last weekend including my best bet going 1-0! For the playoffs so far I’m 2-0 on my best bets and 6-1 on all my other picks. So altogether I'm 8-1 for the playoffs. Go with the hot hand, go with The Prog!

I’ll have my analysis and picks up Thursday for next week’s games.  Be sure and check back then!
 
 

Friday, January 13, 2017


Divisional Round NFL Playoffs!

 
I went 4-0 last week with my picks and I'm ready to continue winning! I’ve got a best bet this weekend.  I like the Falcons and the Seahawks game to go over the total of 51.5! I also have recommendations on the rest of the gams below. Good luck!

 
Seattle at Atlanta
Line: Atlanta -5
Total: 51.5

 
The Seahawks are 3-4-1 on the road this season straight up and 3-5 ATS. They’ve played 4 unders and 4 overs. For the season their record is 10-5-1, 7-9 ATS, with 7 unders and 9 overs.

The Falcons are 5-3 straight up and 3-5 ATS at home while playing all 8 games over. For the season their record is 11-5 straight up and 10-5 ATS. They’ve played 13 overs and 3 unders.

These two teams met in earlier this season in Seattle with the Seahawks winning the game 26-24 as a 6 and a half point favorite.

In the last 4 games the Falcons have scored at least 33 points. They’re on fire and I’m not going against them now.

Best bet!!! Seattle/Atlanta over 51.5

PROGnosis: Seattle/Atlanta over 51.5

PROGnosis: Seattle +5

 

Houston at New England
Line: New England -16
Total: 44.5

The Texans are both 2-6 straight up and ATS on the road this season, while playing 4 unders and 4 overs. For the season their record is 9-7, 8-7 ATS with 9 unders and 7 overs.

The Patriots are 6-2 straight up and 5-2-1 ATS at home. They’ve played 3 unders and 5 overs. For the season they’re 14-2 straight up, 12-3-1 ATS with 9 unders and 7 overs.

This is the kind of line that seems so obvious after the game. If New England covers the big, big spread of 16 we say well, they’re the Patriots, of course they’re the right side. I’d never go against them against Houston, especially at home. If Houston covers people would say 16 is way too many points to give any NFL playoff team.

Earlier this season the Patriots beat the Texans 27-0 with their 3rd string quarterback. Think Tom Brady can do as well?

 
PROGnosis: New England -16

 

Pittsburgh at Kansas City
Line:  Kansas City -1.5
Total: 44

The Steelers are both 5-3 straight up and ATS on the road while playing 5 unders and 1 over with 2 pushes. For the season they’re 10-6, 8-8 ATS, with 9 unders and 5 overs with 2 pushes.

The Chiefs are 6-2 straight up, 3-5 ATS at home while playing 6 unders and 2 overs. For the season they’re 12-4 straight up, 9-7 ATS with 10 unders and 6 overs.

The Chiefs lost to the Steelers earlier in the season 43-14 in Pittsburgh. While this won’t be a repeat of that game I still think the Steelers come out on top. I think they’re better in just about every phase of the game.

PROGnosis: Pittsburgh +1.5

 

Green Bay at Dallas
Line: Dallas -4.5
Total: 52.5

 
The Packers are 4-4straight up, 3-5 ATS on the road this season while playing 2 unders and 6 overs. For the season their record is 10-6, 7-8 ATS, with 7 unders and 8 overs.

The Cowboys are 7-1 straight up for the season, 5-3 ATS at home while playing 4 unders and 4 overs. For the season they’re 13-3 straight up, 10-6 ATS while playing 10 unders and 6 overs. 

The Cowboys are a solid team, but I can’t refuse taking the points with an experienced QB who’s on fire right now.

PROGnosis: Green Bay + 4.5

Thursday, January 5, 2017

Wildcard Weekend!


 I have one best bet this week. I’m going with the Packers to cover.

 
Oakland at Houston
Line: Houston -3.5
Total: 36.5

The Raiders are 6-2 on the road this season, 5-2-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve played 4 unders and 4 overs. Overall they’re 12-4 on the season, 9-6-1 ATS, with 5 unders and 11 overs.

The Texans are 7-1 at home this season, losing only to the Chargers, 6-1 ATS, with 5 unders and 3 overs. For the season their record is 9-7, 8-7 ATS with 9 unders and 7 overs.

A tale of two backup quarterbacks. The Raiders have announced they’re starting Connor Cook at quarterback. ESPN reports that he’s the first QB in the Super Bowl era that’s starting his first game ever in the playoffs.  Dereck Carr was the engine that drove the Raiders and without him they stand very little chance. Brook Osweiler at least has some experience under his belt. But that experience caused him to be let go in Denver and benched by the Texans. That being said, he’s performed better at home and this is his chance to make the coaches, the home crowd and of course, his momma proud.

 
PROGnosis: Houston -3.5

 

Detroit at Seattle
Line: Seattle -8
Total: 43.5

The Lions are 3-5 on the road this season, 3-4 ATS, with 5 unders and 3 overs. For the season their record is 9-7, 7-7-2 ATS with 10 unders and 6 overs.

The Seahawks are 7-1 at home, 4-4 ATS, with 3 unders and 5 overs. For the season their record is 10-5-1, 7-9 ATS, with 7 unders and 9 overs.

The Lions aren’t exactly roaring into the playoffs, losing their last 3 games. They’ve played very close games this season, with only 3 of them being decided by more than 7 points. The bad news is that those 3 games happen to be their last 3 games on the road, and they lost 2 of them. They really have been having some trouble scoring the past couple of months.  

Seattle haven’t had any problems scoring points at home so I’ll roll the dice on the Seahawks.


PROGnosis: Seattle -8

 

 
Miami at Pittsburgh
Line: Pittsburgh -10
Total: 46

 
The Dolphins are 4-4 on the road this season, 5-3 ATS, playing 3 unders and 5 overs. For the season they’re 10-6, 9-7 ATS, with 4 unders and 12 overs.

The Steelers at home are 5-3, 3-5 ATS with 4 unders and 4 overs. For the season they’re 10-6, 8-8 ATS, with 9 unders and 5 overs.

In their last 6 games Miami has given up at least 23 points and 31 or more 3 times. They’ve played 6 overs in a row. In their last 4 games the Steelers have score at least 24 points every time and 31 once. In those games they haven’t gone under the total, going over twice with 2 pushes. Look for a lot of points in this game.

 
PROGnosis: Pittsburgh -10

 

 
N.Y. Giants at Green Bay
Line: Green Bay -4.5
Total: 44.5

 
The Giants on the road are 4-4, 5-3 ATS, with 7 unders and 1 over. Overall their record is 11-5, 9-6 ATS, with 12 unders and 4 overs.

 
The Packers are 6-2 at home, 4-3 ATS, with 4 unders and 4 overs. For the season their record is 10-6, 7-8 ATS, with 7 unders and 8 overs.

The Packers come into the playoffs red hot. They’ve won 6 in a row, covering 5 of those 6. Four of their last 6 games gave gone over the total, with another one barely going under.

The Giants haven’t scored over 19 points in the last 5 games. During that stretch they’re 3-2 straight up and 3-2 ATS. For the season they’ve only scored over 20 points once on the road.

I’m going with the hot hand of Aaron Rodgers.

BEST BET!!!

 
PROGnosis: Green Bay -4.5