Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Week 7 Thursday Night Best Bet


Kansas City at Oakland
Line:  Kansas City -3
Total: 47
Kansas City is 5 - 1 straight up and 3 - 0 on the road. They're 5 - 1 against the spread overall and 3 - 0 on the road. They've played 4 unders and 2 overs. On the road they've played 1 under and 2 overs. They've averaged 29.5 points per game this season, 36 points on the road. They've given up an average of 21.7 points per game, while giving up 23.7 points on average on the road.

Oakland is 2 - 4 straight up and 1 - 2 at home. They're 2 - 4 against the spread overall and 1 - 2 at home. They've played 4 unders and 2 overs. Playing at home they've played 1 under and 2 overs. They've averaged 20.7 points per game this season, 26 at home. They've given up an average of 21 points this season, while allowing 22.3 points per game on average at home.
The Chiefs last year followed up every loss with a win in the next game and the they’re coming off their first loss of the season. Also, the Chiefs best the Raiders twice last year when the Raiders were a hot team and Carr was at the top of his game. Carr isn’t 100% right now, so given the short week I think the Chiefs have a major advantage here. 

PROGnosis:  Kansas City -3
 
 

Week 6 Recap

All the numbers here are against the spread. Week 6 of NFL action saw the home teams go 6-8, which makes them 39-49 for the season.  The favorites went just 3-11 this week, 33-55 for the season.  Home favorites went 3-8, 22-38 for the season, while home dogs went 3-0, 17-11 for the season. Finally, 6 games went under the total with 8 games going over. So far this season that makes 47 unders and 42 overs.

I went 1-0 on my best bet and I went 8-5 on the rest of my picks. Year to date on my weekly picks not including the best bets are now siting at 15-9, 62.5%.

Best bets can be posted at any time, so check back often! Normally I’ll have all picks up by Thursday night, but circumstances can change as the week goes on.
 

Monday, October 16, 2017

Monday Night Pick


Tonight's game isn't a best bet, but this is a very strong play.  The line is Tennessee -7 and I think that's too high. I like Indianapolis plus the points tonight.  

PROGnois: Indianapolis +7

Friday, October 13, 2017

Week 6 Picks


I hit Philadelphia as a best bet winner Thursday night. I may release some more best bets for this weekend, but right now there are no more best bets. Be sure and check back for any late plays! Here are the rest of the games for week 6.
 
Chicago at Baltimore
Line:  Baltimore -6.5
Total:  39.5

Chicago is 1 - 4 straight up and 0 - 2 on the road. They're 2 - 2 against the spread overall and 0 - 2 on the road. They've played 4 unders and 1 over. On the road they've played 1 under and 1 over. They've averaged 15.6 points per game this season, 10.5 points on the road. They've given up an average of 24.8 points per game, while giving up 32 points on average on the road.

Baltimore is 3 - 2 straight up and 1 - 1 at home. They're 3 - 2 against the spread overall and 1 - 1 at home. They've played 3 unders and 2 overs. Playing at home they've played 2 unders and 0 overs. They've averaged 18 points per game this season, 16.5 at home. They've given up an average of 19.4 points this season, while allowing 18 points per game on average at home.

PROGnosis:  Chicago +6.5

 
Cleveland at Houston

Line:  Houston -9.5

Total:  47

Cleveland is 0 - 5 straight up and 0 - 2 on the road. They're 1 - 4 against the spread overall and 0 - 2 on the road. They've played 4 unders and 1 over. On the road they've played 1 under and 1 over. They've averaged 15.4 points per game this season, 19 points on the road. They've given up an average of 24.8 points per game, while giving up 27.5 points on average on the road.

Houston is 2 - 3 straight up and 1 - 2 at home. They're 3 - 2 against the spread overall and 1 - 2 at home. They've played 2 unders and 3 overs. Playing at home they've played 1 under and 2 overs. They've averaged 28.8 points per game this season, 32.7 at home. They've given up an average of 26 points this season, while allowing 28.3 points per game on average at home.

PROGnosis:  Houston -9.5

 
Green Bay at Minnesota

Line:  Green Bay -3
Total:  46.5

Green Bay is 4 - 1 straight up and 1 - 1 on the road. They're 3 - 2 against the spread overall and 1 - 1 on the road. They've played 1 under and 4 overs. On the road they've played 0 unders and 2 overs. They've averaged 27.4 points per game this season, 29 points on the road. They've given up an average of 22.4 points per game, while giving up 32.5 points on average on the road.

Minnesota is 3 - 2 straight up and 2 - 1 at home. They're 2 - 2 against the spread overall and 2 - 1 at home. They've played 3 unders and 1 overs. Playing at home they've played 1 under and 1 over. They've averaged 19.8 points per game this season, 23.3 at home. They've given up an average of 18.6 points this season, while allowing 16.7 points per game on average at home.

PROGnosis:  Minnesota +3

 
Detroit at New Orleans
Line:  New Orleans -5
Total:  50

Detroit is 3 - 2 straight up and 2 - 0 on the road. They're 3 - 2 against the spread overall and 2 - 0 on the road. They've played 2 unders and 3 overs. On the road they've played 2 unders and 0 overs. They've averaged 24.6 points per game this season, 19 points on the road. They've given up an average of 19.4 points per game, while giving up 8.5 points on average on the road.

New Orleans is 2 - 2 straight up and 0 - 1 at home. They're 2 - 2 against the spread overall and 0 - 1 at home. They've played 1 under and 1 over. Playing at home they pushed on the total one time. They've averaged 23.3 points per game this season, 20 at home. They've given up an average of 19.5 points this season, while allowing 36 points per game on average at home.

PROGnosis:  New Orleans -5

 
Miami at Atlanta
Line:  Atlanta -12.5

Total:  46.5

Miami is 2 - 2 straight up and 1 - 1 on the road. They're 2 - 2 against the spread overall and 1 - 1 on the road. They've played 4 unders and 0 over. On the road they've played 2 unders and 0 overs. They've averaged 10.3 points per game this season, 12.5 points on the road. They've given up an average of 16.8 points per game, while giving up 18.5 points on average on the road.

Atlanta is 3 - 1 straight up and 1 - 1 at home. They're 2 - 2 against the spread overall and 1 - 1 at home. They've played 2 unders and 2 overs. Playing at home they've played 1 under and 1 over. They've averaged 26 points per game this season, 25.5 at home. They've given up an average of 22.3 points this season, while allowing 23 points per game on average at home.

PROGnosis:  Miami +12.5

 
New England at N.Y. Jets

Line:  New England -9.5
Total:  47.5

New England is 3 - 2 straight up and 2 - 0 on the road. They're 2 - 3 against the spread overall and 2 - 0 on the road. They've played 1 under and 3 overs. On the road they've played 1 under and 0 overs. They've averaged 29.6 points per game this season, 27.5 points on the road. They've given up an average of 28.4 points per game, while giving up 17 points on average on the road.

N.Y. Jets are 3 - 2 straight up and 2 - 0 at home. They're 4 - 1 against the spread overall and 2 - 0 at home. They've played 3 unders and 2 overs. Playing at home they've played 1 under and 1 over. They've averaged 18.4 points per game this season, 21.5 at home. They've given up an average of 21.2 points this season, while allowing 13 points per game on average at home.

PROGnosis: N.Y. Jets +9.5

 
San Francisco at Washington

Line:  Washington -10.5

Total:  46.5

San Francisco is 0 - 5 straight up and 0 - 3 on the road. They're 3 - 2 against the spread overall and 2 - 1 on the road. They've played 3 unders and 2 overs. On the road they've played 2 unders and 1 over. They've averaged 17.8 points per game this season, 15.7 points on the road. They've given up an average of 24 points per game, while giving up 18.7 points on average on the road.

Washington is 2 - 2 straight up and 1 - 1 at home. They're 2 - 2 against the spread overall and 1 - 1 at home. They've played 3 unders and 1 over. Playing at home they've played 2 unders and 0 overs. They've averaged 22.8 points per game this season, 22 at home. They've given up an average of 22.3 points this season, while allowing 20 points per game on average at home.

PROGnosis:  Washington -10.5

Tampa Bay at Arizona
Line:  Tampa Bay -1.5

Total:  45

 Tampa Bay is 2 - 2 straight up and 0 - 1 on the road. They're 1 - 3 against the spread overall and 0 - 1 on the road. They've played 2 unders and 2 overs. On the road they've played 0 unders and 1 over. They've averaged 21.3 points per game this season, 17 points on the road. They've given up an average of 20.8 points per game, while giving up 34 points on average on the road.
Arizona is 2 - 3 straight up and 1 - 1 at home. They're 0 - 5 against the spread overall and 0 - 2 at home. They've played 4 unders and 1 over. Playing at home they've played 2 unders and 0 overs. They've averaged 16.2 points per game this season, 17.5 at home. They've given up an average of 25 points this season, while allowing 21.5 points per game on average at home.

PROGnosis:  Tampa Bay -1.5

 
L.A. Rams at Jacksonville

Line:  Jacksonville -2.5
Total:  42.5

L.A. Rams are 3 - 2 straight up and 2 - 0 on the road. They're 2 - 3 against the spread overall and 1 - 1 on the road. They've played 1 under and 4 overs. On the road they've played 0 unders and 2 overs. They've averaged 30.4 points per game this season, 38 points on the road. They've given up an average of 24.2 points per game, while giving up 34.5 points on average on the road.

Jacksonville is 3 - 2 straight up and 1 - 1 at home. They're 3 - 2 against the spread overall and 1 - 1 at home. They've played 2 unders and 3 overs. Playing at home they've played 0 unders and 2 overs. They've averaged 27.8 points per game this season, 30 at home. They've given up an average of 16.6 points this season, while allowing 22 points per game on average at home.

PROGnosis:  L.A. Rams +2.5

Pittsburgh at Kansas City

Line:  Kansas City -4.5

Total:  47

Pittsburgh is 3 - 2 straight up and 2 - 1 on the road. They're 2 - 3 against the spread overall and 1 - 2 on the road. They've played 5 unders and 0 overs. On the road they've played 3 unders and 0 overs. They've averaged 19.8 points per game this season, 21.3 points on the road. They've given up an average of 17.8 points per game, while giving up 16.7 points on average on the road.

Kansas City is 5 - 0 straight up and 2 - 0 at home. They're 5 - 0 against the spread overall and 2 - 0 at home. They've played 3 unders and 2 overs. Playing at home they've played 2 unders and 0 overs. They've averaged 32.8 points per game this season, 28 at home. They've given up an average of 22.2 points this season, while allowing 20 points per game on average at home.

PROGnosis:  Kansas City -4.5

L.A. Chargers at Oakland

Line:  Oakland -2
Total:  No Line

L.A. Chargers are 1 - 4 straight up and 1 - 1 on the road. They're 2 - 3 against the spread overall and 2 - 0 on the road. They've played 2 unders and 3 overs. On the road they've played 0 unders and 2 overs. They've averaged 19.8 points per game this season, 24 points on the road. They've given up an average of 23 points per game, while giving up 23 points on average on the road.

Oakland is 2 - 3 straight up and 1 - 1 at home. They're 2 - 3 against the spread overall and 1 - 1 at home. They've played 3 unders and 2 overs. Playing at home they've played 0 unders and 2 overs. They've averaged 21.6 points per game this season, 31 at home. They've given up an average of 21.8 points this season, while allowing 25 points per game on average at home.

PROGnosis:  L.A. Chargers +2

N.Y. Giants at Denver
Line:  Denver -12

Total:  39

N.Y. Giants are 0 - 5 straight up and 0 - 3 on the road. They're 2 - 3 against the spread overall and 2 - 1 on the road. They've played 2 unders and 3 overs. On the road they've played 1 under and 2 overs. They've averaged 16.4 points per game this season, 16.7 points on the road. They've given up an average of 24.4 points per game, while giving up 23.7 points on average on the road.

Denver is 3 - 1 straight up and 3 - 0 at home. They're 2 - 2 against the spread overall and 2 - 1 at home. They've played 1 under and 3 overs. Playing at home they've played 1 under and 2 overs. They've averaged 24.5 points per game this season, 27.3 at home. They've given up an average of 18.5 points this season, while allowing 16 points per game on average at home.

PROGnosis:  Denver -12

Indianapolis at Tennessee

Line:  No line

Total: No line

 

Indianapolis is 2 - 3 straight up and 0 - 2 on the road. They're 3 - 2 against the spread overall and 0 - 2 on the road. They've played 1 under and 4 overs. On the road they've played 0 unders and 2 overs. They've averaged 19.4 points per game this season, 13.5 points on the road. They've given up an average of 31.8 points per game, while giving up 46 points on average on the road.

Tennessee is 2 - 3 straight up and 1 - 1 at home. They're 2 - 3 against the spread overall and 1 - 1 at home. They've played 2 unders and 3 overs. Playing at home they've played 1 under and 1 over. They've averaged 22 points per game this season, 24.5 at home. They've given up an average of 28.4 points this season, while allowing 26.5 points per game on average at home.
 
 

 

 

Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Week 6 Thursday Night Best Bet!



Philadelphia at Carolina
Line:  Carolina -3
Total:  46

Philadelphia is 4 - 1 straight up and 2 - 1 on the road. They're 3 - 2 against the spread overall and 2 - 1 on the road. They've played 3 unders and 2 overs. On the road they've played 2 unders and 1 over. They've averaged 27.4 points per game this season, 25.3 points on the road. They've given up an average of 19.8 points per game, while giving up 22.7 points on average on the road.

Carolina is 4 - 1 straight up and 1 - 1 at home. They're 3 - 2 against the spread overall and 0 - 2 at home. They've played 2 unders and 3 overs. Playing at home they've played 1 under and 1 over. They've averaged 21 points per game this season, 11 at home. They've given up an average of 18.8 points this season, while allowing 18.5 points per game on average at home.

The Eagles have scored at least 20 in every game so far and twice have gotten into the 30s. They’ve been a consistent team, playing good football. Their only lose cam against the Chiefs on the road, no shame there. Carolina has been more up and down this season and it looks like the wrong team may be favored here. Jump on the 3 points!

PROGnosis:  Philadelphia+3

Week 5 Recap.


To say the least I haven’t gotten the job done so far this season. It’s been another crazy year in the NFL and I really think things are coming together. So stick around, because quite literally, the best is yet to come!

All the numbers here are against the spread. Week 5 of NFL action saw the home teams go 4-10, which makes them 33-42 for the season.  The favorites went 5-9 this week, 30-45 for the season.  Home favorites went 3-8, 19-31 for the season, while home dogs went 1-2, 14-11 for the season. Finally, 8 games went under the total with 6 games going over. So far this season that makes 41 unders and 34 overs.

Best bets can be posted at any time, so check back often! Normally I’ll have all picks up by Thursday night, but circumstances can change as the week goes on.
 
 

Thursday, October 5, 2017


Week 5 Best Bets and the Best of the Rest!


Three Best Bets this week!

Buffalo at Cincinnati
Line:  Cincinnati -3
Total:  39

Buffalo is 3-1 straight up, 1-1 on the road. They're 3-1 against the spread, 2-0 on the road. They've played 3 unders and 1 over. They've averaged 18.3 points per game this season. They've given up an average of 13.5 points per game.
Cincinnati is 1 - 3 straight up, 0 - 2 at home. They're 2 - 2 against the spread, 0 - 2 at home. They've played 3 unders and 1 over. They've averaged 16.0 points per game this season. They've given up an average of 16.8 points this season.

PROGnosis:  Buffalo +3

San Francisco at Indianapolis
Line:  Indianapolis -1.5
Total:  43.5

San Francisco is 0-4 straight up, 0-2 on the road. They're 3-1 against the spread, 2-0 on the road.   They've played 3 unders and 1 over. On the road they've played 2 unders. They've averaged 16.5 points per game. They've given up an average of 23.5 points per game.
Indianapolis is 1-3 straight up, 1-1 at home. They're 2-2 against the spread, 2-0 at home. They've played 1 under and 3 overs. Playing at home they've played 1 under and 1 over. They've averaged 17.8 points per game this season. They've given up an average of 34.0 points this season.

PROGnosis:  San Francisco +1.5

Minnesota at Chicago
Line:  Minnesota -3
Total:  No line

Minnesota is 2-2 straight up, 0-1 on the road. They're 2-2 against the spread, 0-1. They’ve played 2 unders and 1 over. They've averaged 19.8 points per game this season. They've given up an average of 19.0 points per game.
Chicago is 1-3 straight up and 1-1 at home. They're 2-2 against the spread, 2-0 at home. They've played 3 unders and 1 over. Playing at home they've played 2 unders. They've averaged 15.3 points per game this season. They've given up an average of 26.0 points this season.

PROGnosis:  Chicago +3

Here are the rest of the picks of the week.

Jets at Cleveland-PROGnosis:  Jets +1
Carolina at Detroit- PROGnosis: Detroit -2.5
Tennessee at Miami- PROGnosis:  Miami +3

Chargers at Giants- PROGnosis:  Giants -3.5

Arizona at Philadelphia-PROGnosis:  Philadelphia -6.5

Jacksonville at Pittsburgh- PROGnosis: Jacksonville +8.5
Seattle at Rams- PROGnosis:  Rams -1

Baltimore at Oakland- PROGnosis:  Oakland -2.5
Green Bay at Dallas- PROGnosis:  Green Bay +2.5

Kansas City at Houston- PROGnosis:  Kansas City-1