Friday, January 13, 2017


Divisional Round NFL Playoffs!

 
I went 4-0 last week with my picks and I'm ready to continue winning! I’ve got a best bet this weekend.  I like the Falcons and the Seahawks game to go over the total of 51.5! I also have recommendations on the rest of the gams below. Good luck!

 
Seattle at Atlanta
Line: Atlanta -5
Total: 51.5

 
The Seahawks are 3-4-1 on the road this season straight up and 3-5 ATS. They’ve played 4 unders and 4 overs. For the season their record is 10-5-1, 7-9 ATS, with 7 unders and 9 overs.

The Falcons are 5-3 straight up and 3-5 ATS at home while playing all 8 games over. For the season their record is 11-5 straight up and 10-5 ATS. They’ve played 13 overs and 3 unders.

These two teams met in earlier this season in Seattle with the Seahawks winning the game 26-24 as a 6 and a half point favorite.

In the last 4 games the Falcons have scored at least 33 points. They’re on fire and I’m not going against them now.

Best bet!!! Seattle/Atlanta over 51.5

PROGnosis: Seattle/Atlanta over 51.5

PROGnosis: Seattle +5

 

Houston at New England
Line: New England -16
Total: 44.5

The Texans are both 2-6 straight up and ATS on the road this season, while playing 4 unders and 4 overs. For the season their record is 9-7, 8-7 ATS with 9 unders and 7 overs.

The Patriots are 6-2 straight up and 5-2-1 ATS at home. They’ve played 3 unders and 5 overs. For the season they’re 14-2 straight up, 12-3-1 ATS with 9 unders and 7 overs.

This is the kind of line that seems so obvious after the game. If New England covers the big, big spread of 16 we say well, they’re the Patriots, of course they’re the right side. I’d never go against them against Houston, especially at home. If Houston covers people would say 16 is way too many points to give any NFL playoff team.

Earlier this season the Patriots beat the Texans 27-0 with their 3rd string quarterback. Think Tom Brady can do as well?

 
PROGnosis: New England -16

 

Pittsburgh at Kansas City
Line:  Kansas City -1.5
Total: 44

The Steelers are both 5-3 straight up and ATS on the road while playing 5 unders and 1 over with 2 pushes. For the season they’re 10-6, 8-8 ATS, with 9 unders and 5 overs with 2 pushes.

The Chiefs are 6-2 straight up, 3-5 ATS at home while playing 6 unders and 2 overs. For the season they’re 12-4 straight up, 9-7 ATS with 10 unders and 6 overs.

The Chiefs lost to the Steelers earlier in the season 43-14 in Pittsburgh. While this won’t be a repeat of that game I still think the Steelers come out on top. I think they’re better in just about every phase of the game.

PROGnosis: Pittsburgh +1.5

 

Green Bay at Dallas
Line: Dallas -4.5
Total: 52.5

 
The Packers are 4-4straight up, 3-5 ATS on the road this season while playing 2 unders and 6 overs. For the season their record is 10-6, 7-8 ATS, with 7 unders and 8 overs.

The Cowboys are 7-1 straight up for the season, 5-3 ATS at home while playing 4 unders and 4 overs. For the season they’re 13-3 straight up, 10-6 ATS while playing 10 unders and 6 overs. 

The Cowboys are a solid team, but I can’t refuse taking the points with an experienced QB who’s on fire right now.

PROGnosis: Green Bay + 4.5

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